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RV Arriaga
AH Leal

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AH Leal

Issues in Business Management and Economics
Vol.5 (1), pp. 6-16 February, 2017
ISSN 2350-157X
Available online at
Article ID /BM/17/004/11 pages
Author(s) retain the copyright of this article. Author(s) agree that this article remain permanently open access under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License 4.0 International License.

Original Research Article

Evidence on the determinants of investment in Mexico (1993-2016)

Roberto Valencia Arriaga*1 and Angélica Hernández Leal2

1Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México
2Universidad Autónoma del Estado de México

*Corresponding Author E-mail:;

Tel.:+52 155 1935 6485.

date Received: February 12, 2017     date Accepted: February 15, 2017     date Published: February 24, 2017


The aim of this paper is to show evidence of the determining factors of investment decisions in Mexico, for this, we discuss the importance of the level of economic activity as the main determinant, and the variables that derivate from this one such as investor expectations and costs such e.g. the exchange rate. We emphasize the importance of the rate of return on investment and the zero effect of the interest rate on the investment. Finally, an ARDL model is presented, which confirms that the level of economic activity is the main cause, the exchange rate influences inversely and there is evidence of a crowding-out effect in the Mexican economy.

JEL classification: E22, C39, E43

Key words: Investment, ARDL Model, Interest rate

Arriaga and Leal